Why Is It So Hard to Predict the Future? - The Atlantichttps://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2019/06/how-to-predict-the-future/588040/
Articles in the AtlanticExpert forecastingIntelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA)Julian SimonPaul R EhrlichPaul SabinPhilip E TetlockThe Good Judgment Project

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Paul R Ehrlich
Biologists